Can Turkey still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?

Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group D fixtures and see Turkey's qualification chances.

What does Turkey need to qualify?

Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Turkey need to finish in the top 2 of their group.

Who could Turkey face in the Round of 16?

Turkey's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.

Turkey

What happens if Turkey win, lose or draw?

Turkey can still qualify

Qualifying in 48% of remaining scenarios

3rd in Group D · 3 matches remaining

Turkey's remaining matches

Australia

Turkey

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Turkey

Paraguay

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Turkey

USA

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Other Group D matches

USA

Paraguay

Australia

USA

Paraguay

Australia

Turkey qualify in 48% of scenarios — toggle to explore

#	Team
1	Australia	✓ Q
2	Paraguay	✓ Q
3	Turkey	✗ E
4	USA	✗ E

Qualification Analysis

• Qualifies in 352 of 729 scenarios (48%)
• Example qualifying scenario: USA beat Paraguay, Australia beat Turkey, Turkey beat Paraguay, Australia beat USA, Turkey beat USA, Paraguay beat Australia

View all Group D permutations →

Scenario Battle: Turkey win vs draw

Scenario Battle

What should Turkey hope for?

Turkey win

78%

1st place · 3 pts

Turkey draw

45%

2nd place · 1 pts

Turkey win gives Turkey a better chance (+33pp)

Matches that affect Turkey

USAvsParaguay AustraliavsUSA ParaguayvsAustralia

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Turkey still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?: Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group D fixtures and see Turkey's qualification chances.
What does Turkey need to qualify?: Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Turkey need to finish in the top 2 of their group.
Who could Turkey face in the Round of 16?: Turkey's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.