Can Mexico still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?

Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group A fixtures and see Mexico's qualification chances.

What does Mexico need to qualify?

Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Mexico need to finish in the top 2 of their group.

Who could Mexico face in the Round of 16?

Mexico's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.

Mexico

What happens if Mexico win, lose or draw?

Mexico can still qualify

Qualifying in 52% of remaining scenarios

2nd in Group A · 3 matches remaining

Mexico's remaining matches

Mexico

S. Africa

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Mexico

Korea

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Denmark

Mexico

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Other Group A matches

Korea

Denmark

S. Africa

Korea

Mexico qualify in 52% of scenarios — toggle to explore

#	Team
1	Denmark	✓ Q
2	Mexico	✓ Q
3	S. Africa	✗ E
4	Korea	✗ E

Qualification Analysis

• Qualifies in 379 of 729 scenarios (52%)
• Example qualifying scenario: Mexico beat S. Africa, Korea beat Denmark, Denmark beat S. Africa, Mexico beat Korea, S. Africa beat Korea, Denmark beat Mexico

Knockout Path

Finish 1st → face Group A runner-up opponent in the Round of 16

Finish 2nd → face group winner from the opposite side

See exact knockout opponents →

View all Group A permutations →

Scenario Battle: Mexico win vs draw

Scenario Battle

What should Mexico hope for?

Mexico win

80%

1st place · 3 pts

Mexico draw

52%

1st place · 1 pts

Mexico win gives Mexico a better chance (+28pp)

Matches that affect Mexico

KoreavsDenmark DenmarkvsS. Africa S. AfricavsKorea

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Explore Other Teams

South Africa Scenarios South Korea Scenarios Denmark Scenarios Canada Scenarios Italy Scenarios Qatar Scenarios Switzerland Scenarios Brazil Scenarios

Frequently Asked Questions

Can Mexico still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?: Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group A fixtures and see Mexico's qualification chances.
What does Mexico need to qualify?: Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Mexico need to finish in the top 2 of their group.
Who could Mexico face in the Round of 16?: Mexico's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.