Can Turkey Still Qualify?
World Cup 2026 · Group D
Turkey can still qualify
Qualifying in 48% of remaining scenarios
Currently 3rd in Group D · 0 points · 6 matches remaining
What Turkey need from Australia vs Turkey
Turkey win
78% chance
Qualifies in 189 of 243 scenarios (78%)
Draw
45% chance
Qualifies in 109 of 243 scenarios (45%)
Turkey lose
22% chance
Qualifies in 54 of 243 scenarios (22%)
Current Group D Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |  Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
2 |  Paraguay | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
4 |  USA | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
Qualification Analysis
- • Qualifies in 352 of 729 scenarios (48%)
- • Example qualifying scenario: USA beat Paraguay, Australia beat Turkey, Turkey beat Paraguay, Australia beat USA, Turkey beat USA, Paraguay beat Australia
Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw
Scenario Battle
What should Turkey hope for?
Turkey win
78%
1st place · 3 pts
Turkey draw
45%
2nd place · 1 pts
Turkey win gives Turkey a better chance (+33pp)
Other matches that affect Turkey
Frequently Asked Questions
- Can Turkey still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
- Turkey qualify in 48% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
- What does Turkey need to qualify?
- Turkey have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
- What group is Turkey in?
- Turkey are in Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.