Can Poland still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?

Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group F fixtures and see Poland's qualification chances.

What does Poland need to qualify?

Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Poland need to finish in the top 2 of their group.

Who could Poland face in the Round of 16?

Poland's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.

Poland

What happens if Poland win, lose or draw?

Poland can still qualify

Qualifying in 48% of remaining scenarios

3rd in Group F · 3 matches remaining

Poland's remaining matches

Poland

Tunisia

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Netherlands

Poland

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Japan

Poland

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Other Group F matches

Netherlands

Japan

Tunisia

Japan

Tunisia

Netherlands

Poland qualify in 48% of scenarios — toggle to explore

#	Team
1	Japan	✓ Q
2	Netherlands	✓ Q
3	Poland	✗ E
4	Tunisia	✗ E

Qualification Analysis

• Qualifies in 352 of 729 scenarios (48%)
• Example qualifying scenario: Netherlands beat Japan, Poland beat Tunisia, Netherlands beat Poland, Tunisia beat Japan, Japan draw Poland, Tunisia draw Netherlands

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Scenario Battle: Poland win vs draw

Scenario Battle

What should Poland hope for?

Poland win

75%

1st place · 3 pts

Poland draw

49%

1st place · 1 pts

Poland win gives Poland a better chance (+26pp)

Matches that affect Poland

NetherlandsvsJapan TunisiavsJapan TunisiavsNetherlands

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Poland still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?: Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group F fixtures and see Poland's qualification chances.
What does Poland need to qualify?: Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Poland need to finish in the top 2 of their group.
Who could Poland face in the Round of 16?: Poland's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.