Can Poland Still Qualify?
World Cup 2026 · Group F
Poland can still qualify
Qualifying in 48% of remaining scenarios
Currently 3rd in Group F · 0 points · 6 matches remaining
What Poland need from Poland vs Tunisia
Poland win
75% chance
Qualifies in 183 of 243 scenarios (75%)
Draw
49% chance
Qualifies in 118 of 243 scenarios (49%)
Poland lose
21% chance
Qualifies in 51 of 243 scenarios (21%)
Current Group F Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |  Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
2 |  Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
4 |  Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
Qualification Analysis
- • Qualifies in 352 of 729 scenarios (48%)
- • Example qualifying scenario: Netherlands beat Japan, Poland beat Tunisia, Netherlands beat Poland, Tunisia beat Japan, Japan draw Poland, Tunisia draw Netherlands
Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw
Scenario Battle
What should Poland hope for?
Poland win
75%
1st place · 3 pts
Poland draw
49%
1st place · 1 pts
Poland win gives Poland a better chance (+26pp)
Other matches that affect Poland
Frequently Asked Questions
- Can Poland still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
- Poland qualify in 48% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
- What does Poland need to qualify?
- Poland have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
- What group is Poland in?
- Poland are in Group F of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.