Can Japan still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?

Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group F fixtures and see Japan's qualification chances.

What does Japan need to qualify?

Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Japan need to finish in the top 2 of their group.

Who could Japan face in the Round of 16?

Japan's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.

Japan

What happens if Japan win, lose or draw?

Japan can still qualify

Qualifying in 54% of remaining scenarios

1st in Group F · 3 matches remaining

Japan's remaining matches

Netherlands

Japan

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Tunisia

Japan

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Japan

Poland

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Other Group F matches

Poland

Tunisia

Netherlands

Poland

Tunisia

Netherlands

Japan qualify in 54% of scenarios — toggle to explore

#	Team
1	Japan	✓ Q
2	Netherlands	✓ Q
3	Poland	✗ E
4	Tunisia	✗ E

Qualification Analysis

• Qualifies in 397 of 729 scenarios (54%)
• Example qualifying scenario: Netherlands beat Japan, Poland beat Tunisia, Netherlands beat Poland, Tunisia beat Japan, Japan beat Poland, Netherlands beat Tunisia

Knockout Path

Finish 1st → face Group F runner-up opponent in the Round of 16

Finish 2nd → face group winner from the opposite side

See exact knockout opponents →

View all Group F permutations →

Scenario Battle: Japan win vs draw

Scenario Battle

What should Japan hope for?

Japan win

82%

1st place · 3 pts

Japan draw

53%

1st place · 1 pts

Japan win gives Japan a better chance (+29pp)

Matches that affect Japan

PolandvsTunisia NetherlandsvsPoland TunisiavsNetherlands

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Japan still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?: Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group F fixtures and see Japan's qualification chances.
What does Japan need to qualify?: Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Japan need to finish in the top 2 of their group.
Who could Japan face in the Round of 16?: Japan's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.