Can Japan Still Qualify?
World Cup 2026 · Group F
Japan can still qualify
Qualifying in 54% of remaining scenarios
Currently 1st in Group F · 0 points · 6 matches remaining
What Japan need from Netherlands vs Japan
Japan win
82% chance
Qualifies in 200 of 243 scenarios (82%)
Draw
53% chance
Qualifies in 129 of 243 scenarios (53%)
Japan lose
28% chance
Qualifies in 68 of 243 scenarios (28%)
Current Group F Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
2 |  Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
3 |  Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
4 |  Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
Qualification Analysis
- • Qualifies in 397 of 729 scenarios (54%)
- • Example qualifying scenario: Netherlands beat Japan, Poland beat Tunisia, Netherlands beat Poland, Tunisia beat Japan, Japan beat Poland, Netherlands beat Tunisia
Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw
Scenario Battle
What should Japan hope for?
Japan win
82%
1st place · 3 pts
Japan draw
53%
1st place · 1 pts
Japan win gives Japan a better chance (+29pp)
Other matches that affect Japan
Frequently Asked Questions
- Can Japan still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
- Japan qualify in 54% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
- What does Japan need to qualify?
- Japan have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
- What group is Japan in?
- Japan are in Group F of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.