Can Iraq still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?

Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group I fixtures and see Iraq's qualification chances.

What does Iraq need to qualify?

Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Iraq need to finish in the top 2 of their group.

Who could Iraq face in the Round of 16?

Iraq's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.

Iraq

What happens if Iraq win, lose or draw?

Iraq can still qualify

Qualifying in 52% of remaining scenarios

2nd in Group I · 3 matches remaining

Iraq's remaining matches

Iraq

Norway

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France

Iraq

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Senegal

Iraq

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Other Group I matches

France

Senegal

Norway

Senegal

Norway

France

Iraq qualify in 52% of scenarios — toggle to explore

#	Team
1	France	✓ Q
2	Iraq	✓ Q
3	Norway	✗ E
4	Senegal	✗ E

Qualification Analysis

• Qualifies in 379 of 729 scenarios (52%)
• Example qualifying scenario: France beat Senegal, Iraq beat Norway, France beat Iraq, Norway beat Senegal, Senegal beat Iraq, France beat Norway

Knockout Path

Finish 1st → face Group I runner-up opponent in the Round of 16

Finish 2nd → face group winner from the opposite side

See exact knockout opponents →

View all Group I permutations →

Scenario Battle: Iraq win vs draw

Scenario Battle

What should Iraq hope for?

Iraq win

80%

1st place · 3 pts

Iraq draw

52%

1st place · 1 pts

Iraq win gives Iraq a better chance (+28pp)

Matches that affect Iraq

FrancevsSenegal NorwayvsSenegal NorwayvsFrance

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Iraq still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?: Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group I fixtures and see Iraq's qualification chances.
What does Iraq need to qualify?: Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Iraq need to finish in the top 2 of their group.
Who could Iraq face in the Round of 16?: Iraq's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.