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Iraq

Can Iraq Still Qualify?

World Cup 2026 · Group I

ScenariosNext OpponentsQualification

Iraq can still qualify

Qualifying in 52% of remaining scenarios

Currently 2nd in Group I · 0 points · 6 matches remaining

What Iraq need from Iraq vs Norway

Iraq win

80% chance

Qualifies in 194 of 243 scenarios (80%)

Draw

52% chance

Qualifies in 126 of 243 scenarios (52%)

Iraq lose

24% chance

Qualifies in 59 of 243 scenarios (24%)

Toggle results for this match →

Current Group I Table

#TeamPGDPts
1
FranceFrance
000✓ Q
2
IraqIraq
000✓ Q
3
NorwayNorway
000✗ E
4
SenegalSenegal
000✗ E

Qualification Analysis

  • • Qualifies in 379 of 729 scenarios (52%)
  • • Example qualifying scenario: France beat Senegal, Iraq beat Norway, France beat Iraq, Norway beat Senegal, Senegal beat Iraq, France beat Norway

Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw

Scenario Battle

What should Iraq hope for?

Iraq win

80%

1st place · 3 pts

Iraq draw

52%

1st place · 1 pts

Iraq win gives Iraq a better chance (+28pp)

Other matches that affect Iraq

FrancevsSenegalNorwayvsSenegalNorwayvsFrance
Toggle all scenarios →All Group I permutations →
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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Iraq still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
Iraq qualify in 52% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
What does Iraq need to qualify?
Iraq have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
What group is Iraq in?
Iraq are in Group I of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.