Can France still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?

Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group I fixtures and see France's qualification chances.

What does France need to qualify?

Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results France need to finish in the top 2 of their group.

Who could France face in the Round of 16?

France's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.

France

What happens if France win, lose or draw?

France can still qualify

Qualifying in 52% of remaining scenarios

2nd in Group I · 3 matches remaining

France's remaining matches

France

Senegal

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France

Bolivia

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Norway

France

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Other Group I matches

Bolivia

Norway

Senegal

Bolivia

France qualify in 52% of scenarios — toggle to explore

#	Team
1	Bolivia	✓ Q
2	France	✓ Q
3	Norway	✗ E
4	Senegal	✗ E

Qualification Analysis

• Qualifies in 379 of 729 scenarios (52%)
• Example qualifying scenario: France beat Senegal, Bolivia beat Norway, France beat Bolivia, Norway beat Senegal, Senegal beat Bolivia, Norway beat France

Knockout Path

Finish 1st → face Group I runner-up opponent in the Round of 16

Finish 2nd → face group winner from the opposite side

See exact knockout opponents →

View all Group I permutations →

Scenario Battle: France win vs draw

Scenario Battle

What should France hope for?

France win

80%

1st place · 3 pts

France draw

52%

1st place · 1 pts

France win gives France a better chance (+28pp)

Matches that affect France

BoliviavsNorway NorwayvsSenegal SenegalvsBolivia

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can France still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?: Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group I fixtures and see France's qualification chances.
What does France need to qualify?: Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results France need to finish in the top 2 of their group.
Who could France face in the Round of 16?: France's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.