Can France Still Qualify?
World Cup 2026 · Group I
France can still qualify
Qualifying in 52% of remaining scenarios
Currently 2nd in Group I · 0 points · 6 matches remaining
What France need from France vs Senegal
France win
80% chance
Qualifies in 194 of 243 scenarios (80%)
Draw
52% chance
Qualifies in 126 of 243 scenarios (52%)
France lose
24% chance
Qualifies in 59 of 243 scenarios (24%)
Current Group I Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |  Bolivia | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
3 |  Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
4 |  Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
Qualification Analysis
- • Qualifies in 379 of 729 scenarios (52%)
- • Example qualifying scenario: France beat Senegal, Bolivia beat Norway, France beat Bolivia, Norway beat Senegal, Senegal beat Bolivia, Norway beat France
Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw
Scenario Battle
What should France hope for?
France win
80%
1st place · 3 pts
France draw
52%
1st place · 1 pts
France win gives France a better chance (+28pp)
Other matches that affect France
Frequently Asked Questions
- Can France still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
- France qualify in 52% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
- What does France need to qualify?
- France have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
- What group is France in?
- France are in Group I of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.