Can Ecuador still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?

Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group E fixtures and see Ecuador's qualification chances.

What does Ecuador need to qualify?

Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Ecuador need to finish in the top 2 of their group.

Who could Ecuador face in the Round of 16?

Ecuador's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.

Ecuador

What happens if Ecuador win, lose or draw?

Ecuador can still qualify

Qualifying in 52% of remaining scenarios

2nd in Group E · 3 matches remaining

Ecuador's remaining matches

Ivory Coast

Ecuador

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Ecuador

CuraÃ§ao

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Ecuador

Germany

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Other Group E matches

Germany

CuraÃ§ao

Germany

Ivory Coast

CuraÃ§ao

Ivory Coast

Ecuador qualify in 52% of scenarios — toggle to explore

#	Team
1	C CuraÃ§ao	✓ Q
2	Ecuador	✓ Q
3	Germany	✗ E
4	Ivory Coast	✗ E

Qualification Analysis

• Qualifies in 379 of 729 scenarios (52%)
• Example qualifying scenario: Germany beat CuraÃ§ao, Ivory Coast beat Ecuador, Germany beat Ivory Coast, Ecuador beat CuraÃ§ao, CuraÃ§ao beat Ivory Coast, Ecuador beat Germany

Knockout Path

Finish 1st → face Group E runner-up opponent in the Round of 16

Finish 2nd → face group winner from the opposite side

See exact knockout opponents →

View all Group E permutations →

Scenario Battle: Ecuador win vs draw

Scenario Battle

What should Ecuador hope for?

Ecuador win

80%

1st place · 3 pts

Ecuador draw

52%

1st place · 1 pts

Ecuador win gives Ecuador a better chance (+28pp)

Matches that affect Ecuador

GermanyvsCuraÃ§ao GermanyvsIvory Coast CuraÃ§aovsIvory Coast

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Ecuador still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?: Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group E fixtures and see Ecuador's qualification chances.
What does Ecuador need to qualify?: Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Ecuador need to finish in the top 2 of their group.
Who could Ecuador face in the Round of 16?: Ecuador's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.