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Ecuador

Can Ecuador Still Qualify?

World Cup 2026 · Group E

ScenariosNext OpponentsQualification

Ecuador can still qualify

Qualifying in 52% of remaining scenarios

Currently 2nd in Group E · 0 points · 6 matches remaining

What Ecuador need from Ivory Coast vs Ecuador

Ecuador win

80% chance

Qualifies in 194 of 243 scenarios (80%)

Draw

52% chance

Qualifies in 126 of 243 scenarios (52%)

Ecuador lose

24% chance

Qualifies in 59 of 243 scenarios (24%)

Toggle results for this match →

Current Group E Table

#TeamPGDPts
1
C
Curaçao
000✓ Q
2
EcuadorEcuador
000✓ Q
3
GermanyGermany
000✗ E
4
Ivory CoastIvory Coast
000✗ E

Qualification Analysis

  • • Qualifies in 379 of 729 scenarios (52%)
  • • Example qualifying scenario: Germany beat Curaçao, Ivory Coast beat Ecuador, Germany beat Ivory Coast, Ecuador beat Curaçao, Curaçao beat Ivory Coast, Ecuador beat Germany

Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw

Scenario Battle

What should Ecuador hope for?

Ecuador win

80%

1st place · 3 pts

Ecuador draw

52%

1st place · 1 pts

Ecuador win gives Ecuador a better chance (+28pp)

Other matches that affect Ecuador

GermanyvsCuraçaoGermanyvsIvory CoastCuraçaovsIvory Coast
Toggle all scenarios →All Group E permutations →
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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Ecuador still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
Ecuador qualify in 52% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
What does Ecuador need to qualify?
Ecuador have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
What group is Ecuador in?
Ecuador are in Group E of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.