Can Australia still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?

Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group D fixtures and see Australia's qualification chances.

What does Australia need to qualify?

Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Australia need to finish in the top 2 of their group.

Who could Australia face in the Round of 16?

Australia's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.

Australia

What happens if Australia win, lose or draw?

Australia can still qualify

Qualifying in 54% of remaining scenarios

1st in Group D · 3 matches remaining

Australia's remaining matches

Australia

Turkey

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Australia

USA

View match details →

Paraguay

Australia

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Other Group D matches

USA

Paraguay

Turkey

Paraguay

Turkey

USA

Australia qualify in 54% of scenarios — toggle to explore

#	Team
1	Australia	✓ Q
2	Paraguay	✓ Q
3	Turkey	✗ E
4	USA	✗ E

Qualification Analysis

• Qualifies in 397 of 729 scenarios (54%)
• Example qualifying scenario: USA beat Paraguay, Australia beat Turkey, Turkey beat Paraguay, Australia beat USA, Turkey beat USA, Paraguay beat Australia

Knockout Path

Finish 1st → face Group D runner-up opponent in the Round of 16

Finish 2nd → face group winner from the opposite side

See exact knockout opponents →

View all Group D permutations →

Scenario Battle: Australia win vs draw

Scenario Battle

What should Australia hope for?

Australia win

82%

1st place · 3 pts

Australia draw

53%

1st place · 1 pts

Australia win gives Australia a better chance (+29pp)

Matches that affect Australia

USAvsParaguay TurkeyvsParaguay TurkeyvsUSA

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Australia still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?: Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group D fixtures and see Australia's qualification chances.
What does Australia need to qualify?: Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Australia need to finish in the top 2 of their group.
Who could Australia face in the Round of 16?: Australia's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.