Can Australia still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?

Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group D fixtures and see Australia's qualification chances.

What does Australia need to qualify?

Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Australia need to finish in the top 2 of their group.

Who could Australia face in the Round of 16?

Australia's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.

WhatIfFootball

Australia

What happens if Australia win, lose or draw?

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Australia still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?: Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group D fixtures and see Australia's qualification chances.
What does Australia need to qualify?: Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Australia need to finish in the top 2 of their group.
Who could Australia face in the Round of 16?: Australia's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.

Australia

What happens if Australia win, lose or draw?

Australia can still qualify

Qualifying in 54% of remaining scenarios

1st in Group D · 3 matches remaining

Australia's remaining matches

Australia

Turkey

View match details →

Australia

USA

View match details →

Paraguay

Australia

View match details →

Other Group D matches

USA

Paraguay

Turkey

Paraguay

Turkey

USA

Australia qualify in 54% of scenarios — toggle to explore

#	Team
1	Australia	✓ Q
2	Paraguay	✓ Q
3	Turkey	✗ E
4	USA	✗ E

Qualification Analysis

• Qualifies in 397 of 729 scenarios (54%)
• Example qualifying scenario: USA beat Paraguay, Australia beat Turkey, Turkey beat Paraguay, Australia beat USA, Turkey beat USA, Paraguay beat Australia

Knockout Path

Finish 1st → face Group D runner-up opponent in the Round of 16

Finish 2nd → face group winner from the opposite side

See exact knockout opponents →

View all Group D permutations →

Scenario Battle: Australia win vs draw

Scenario Battle

What should Australia hope for?

Australia win

82%

1st place · 3 pts

Australia draw

53%

1st place · 1 pts

Australia win gives Australia a better chance (+29pp)

Matches that affect Australia

USAvsParaguay TurkeyvsParaguay TurkeyvsUSA

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Explore Other Teams

Mexico Scenarios South Africa Scenarios South Korea Scenarios Denmark Scenarios Canada Scenarios Italy Scenarios Qatar Scenarios Switzerland Scenarios

Frequently Asked Questions

Can Australia still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?: Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group D fixtures and see Australia's qualification chances.
What does Australia need to qualify?: Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Australia need to finish in the top 2 of their group.
Who could Australia face in the Round of 16?: Australia's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.