Can Australia Still Qualify?
World Cup 2026 · Group D
Australia can still qualify
Qualifying in 54% of remaining scenarios
Currently 1st in Group D · 0 points · 6 matches remaining
What Australia need from Australia vs Turkey
Australia win
82% chance
Qualifies in 200 of 243 scenarios (82%)
Draw
53% chance
Qualifies in 129 of 243 scenarios (53%)
Australia lose
28% chance
Qualifies in 68 of 243 scenarios (28%)
Current Group D Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
2 |  Paraguay | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
3 |  Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
4 |  USA | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
Qualification Analysis
- • Qualifies in 397 of 729 scenarios (54%)
- • Example qualifying scenario: USA beat Paraguay, Australia beat Turkey, Turkey beat Paraguay, Australia beat USA, Turkey beat USA, Paraguay beat Australia
Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw
Scenario Battle
What should Australia hope for?
Australia win
82%
1st place · 3 pts
Australia draw
53%
1st place · 1 pts
Australia win gives Australia a better chance (+29pp)
Other matches that affect Australia
Frequently Asked Questions
- Can Australia still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
- Australia qualify in 54% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
- What does Australia need to qualify?
- Australia have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
- What group is Australia in?
- Australia are in Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.