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What If United States Draw?

USA can still qualify

Qualifying in 43% of remaining scenarios

Would move to 2nd in Group D

If USA draw against USA, they remain 2nd and qualify in 43% of remaining scenarios.

Group D Table After This Result

#TeamPGDPts
1
ParaguayParaguay
101✓ Q
2
United StatesUSA
101✓ Q
3
AustraliaAustralia
000✗ E
4
TurkeyTurkey
000✗ E

Matches That Affect USA

AustraliavsTurkeyTurkeyvsParaguayParaguayvsAustralia
Toggle all USA scenarios →Full qualification breakdown →
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Frequently Asked Questions

Can United States still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
USA qualify in 45% of remaining scenarios. Use the scenario simulator to explore every possibility.
What group is United States in?
United States are in Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
What does United States need to qualify?
Toggle all remaining group fixtures on the scenario page to see the exact combination of results USA need.