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What If Japan Lose?

Japan can still qualify

Qualifying in 28% of remaining scenarios

Would move to 4th in Group F

If Japan lose to Netherlands, their chances drop to 28%. They would fall to 4th in their group.

Group F Table After This Result

#TeamPGDPts
1
NetherlandsNetherlands
1+13✓ Q
2
PolandPoland
000✓ Q
3
TunisiaTunisia
000✗ E
4
JapanJapan
1-10✗ E

Matches That Affect Japan

PolandvsTunisiaNetherlandsvsPolandTunisiavsNetherlands
Toggle all Japan scenarios →Full qualification breakdown →
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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Japan still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
Japan qualify in 54% of remaining scenarios. Use the scenario simulator to explore every possibility.
What group is Japan in?
Japan are in Group F of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
What does Japan need to qualify?
Toggle all remaining group fixtures on the scenario page to see the exact combination of results Japan need.