Can Norway still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?

Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group I fixtures and see Norway's qualification chances.

What does Norway need to qualify?

Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Norway need to finish in the top 2 of their group.

Who could Norway face in the Round of 16?

Norway's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.

Norway

What happens if Norway win, lose or draw?

Norway can still qualify

Qualifying in 48% of remaining scenarios

3rd in Group I · 3 matches remaining

Norway's remaining matches

Bolivia

Norway

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Norway

Senegal

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Norway

France

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Other Group I matches

France

Senegal

France

Bolivia

Senegal

Bolivia

Norway qualify in 48% of scenarios — toggle to explore

#	Team
1	Bolivia	✓ Q
2	France	✓ Q
3	Norway	✗ E
4	Senegal	✗ E

Qualification Analysis

• Qualifies in 352 of 729 scenarios (48%)
• Example qualifying scenario: France beat Senegal, Bolivia beat Norway, France beat Bolivia, Norway beat Senegal, Senegal beat Bolivia, Norway beat France

View all Group I permutations →

Scenario Battle: Norway win vs draw

Scenario Battle

What should Norway hope for?

Norway win

78%

1st place · 3 pts

Norway draw

45%

2nd place · 1 pts

Norway win gives Norway a better chance (+33pp)

Matches that affect Norway

FrancevsSenegal FrancevsBolivia SenegalvsBolivia

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Norway still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?: Use the scenario simulator above to toggle remaining Group I fixtures and see Norway's qualification chances.
What does Norway need to qualify?: Toggle all remaining group fixtures above to see the exact results Norway need to finish in the top 2 of their group.
Who could Norway face in the Round of 16?: Norway's Round of 16 opponent depends on where they finish in their group. First place faces a group runner-up from the opposite side of the draw.