Can Mexico Still Qualify?
World Cup 2026 · Group A
Mexico can still qualify
Qualifying in 52% of remaining scenarios
Currently 2nd in Group A · 0 points · 6 matches remaining
What Mexico need from Mexico vs S. Africa
Mexico win
80% chance
Qualifies in 194 of 243 scenarios (80%)
Draw
52% chance
Qualifies in 126 of 243 scenarios (52%)
Mexico lose
24% chance
Qualifies in 59 of 243 scenarios (24%)
Current Group A Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |  Denmark | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
2 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
3 |  S. Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
4 |  Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
Qualification Analysis
- • Qualifies in 379 of 729 scenarios (52%)
- • Example qualifying scenario: Mexico beat S. Africa, Korea beat Denmark, Denmark beat S. Africa, Mexico beat Korea, S. Africa beat Korea, Denmark beat Mexico
Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw
Scenario Battle
What should Mexico hope for?
Mexico win
80%
1st place · 3 pts
Mexico draw
52%
1st place · 1 pts
Mexico win gives Mexico a better chance (+28pp)
Other matches that affect Mexico
Frequently Asked Questions
- Can Mexico still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
- Mexico qualify in 52% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
- What does Mexico need to qualify?
- Mexico have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
- What group is Mexico in?
- Mexico are in Group A of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.