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Sweden

Can Sweden Still Qualify?

World Cup 2026 · Group F

ScenariosNext OpponentsQualification

Sweden can still qualify

Qualifying in 48% of remaining scenarios

Currently 3rd in Group F · 0 points · 6 matches remaining

What Sweden need from Sweden vs Tunisia

Sweden win

75% chance

Qualifies in 183 of 243 scenarios (75%)

Draw

49% chance

Qualifies in 118 of 243 scenarios (49%)

Sweden lose

21% chance

Qualifies in 51 of 243 scenarios (21%)

Toggle results for this match →

Current Group F Table

#TeamPGDPts
1
JapanJapan
000✓ Q
2
NetherlandsNetherlands
000✓ Q
3
SwedenSweden
000✗ E
4
TunisiaTunisia
000✗ E

Qualification Analysis

  • • Qualifies in 352 of 729 scenarios (48%)
  • • Example qualifying scenario: Netherlands beat Japan, Sweden beat Tunisia, Netherlands beat Sweden, Tunisia beat Japan, Japan draw Sweden, Tunisia draw Netherlands

Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw

Scenario Battle

What should Sweden hope for?

Sweden win

75%

1st place · 3 pts

Sweden draw

49%

1st place · 1 pts

Sweden win gives Sweden a better chance (+26pp)

Other matches that affect Sweden

NetherlandsvsJapanTunisiavsJapanTunisiavsNetherlands
Toggle all scenarios →All Group F permutations →
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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Sweden still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
Sweden qualify in 48% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
What does Sweden need to qualify?
Sweden have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
What group is Sweden in?
Sweden are in Group F of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.