Can South Africa Still Qualify?
World Cup 2026 · Group A
S. Africa can still qualify
Qualifying in 48% of remaining scenarios
Currently 3rd in Group A · 0 points · 6 matches remaining
What S. Africa need from Mexico vs S. Africa
S. Africa win
78% chance
Qualifies in 189 of 243 scenarios (78%)
Draw
45% chance
Qualifies in 109 of 243 scenarios (45%)
S. Africa lose
22% chance
Qualifies in 54 of 243 scenarios (22%)
Current Group A Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |  Denmark | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
2 |  Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
3 | S. Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
4 |  Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
Qualification Analysis
- • Qualifies in 352 of 729 scenarios (48%)
- • Example qualifying scenario: Mexico beat S. Africa, Korea beat Denmark, Denmark draw S. Africa, Mexico beat Korea, S. Africa beat Korea, Denmark draw Mexico
Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw
Scenario Battle
What should S. Africa hope for?
S. Africa win
78%
1st place · 3 pts
S. Africa draw
45%
2nd place · 1 pts
S. Africa win gives S. Africa a better chance (+33pp)
Other matches that affect S. Africa
Frequently Asked Questions
- Can South Africa still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
- S. Africa qualify in 48% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
- What does South Africa need to qualify?
- S. Africa have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
- What group is South Africa in?
- South Africa are in Group A of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.