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Senegal

Can Senegal Still Qualify?

World Cup 2026 · Group I

ScenariosNext OpponentsQualification

Senegal can still qualify

Qualifying in 45% of remaining scenarios

Currently 4th in Group I · 0 points · 6 matches remaining

What Senegal need from France vs Senegal

Senegal win

74% chance

Qualifies in 179 of 243 scenarios (74%)

Draw

43% chance

Qualifies in 104 of 243 scenarios (43%)

Senegal lose

19% chance

Qualifies in 47 of 243 scenarios (19%)

Toggle results for this match →

Current Group I Table

#TeamPGDPts
1
BoliviaBolivia
000✓ Q
2
FranceFrance
000✓ Q
3
NorwayNorway
000✗ E
4
SenegalSenegal
000✗ E

Qualification Analysis

  • • Qualifies in 330 of 729 scenarios (45%)
  • • Example qualifying scenario: France beat Senegal, Bolivia beat Norway, France beat Bolivia, Norway draw Senegal, Senegal beat Bolivia, Norway draw France

Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw

Scenario Battle

What should Senegal hope for?

Senegal win

74%

1st place · 3 pts

Senegal draw

43%

2nd place · 1 pts

Senegal win gives Senegal a better chance (+31pp)

Other matches that affect Senegal

BoliviavsNorwayFrancevsBoliviaNorwayvsFrance
Toggle all scenarios →All Group I permutations →
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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Senegal still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
Senegal qualify in 45% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
What does Senegal need to qualify?
Senegal have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
What group is Senegal in?
Senegal are in Group I of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.