Can New Zealand Still Qualify?
World Cup 2026 · Group G
New Zealand can still qualify
Qualifying in 45% of remaining scenarios
Currently 4th in Group G · 0 points · 6 matches remaining
What New Zealand need from Iran vs New Zealand
New Zealand win
74% chance
Qualifies in 179 of 243 scenarios (74%)
Draw
43% chance
Qualifies in 104 of 243 scenarios (43%)
New Zealand lose
19% chance
Qualifies in 47 of 243 scenarios (19%)
Current Group G Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |  Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
2 |  Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
3 |  Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
4 | New Zealand | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
Qualification Analysis
- • Qualifies in 330 of 729 scenarios (45%)
- • Example qualifying scenario: Belgium beat Egypt, Iran beat New Zealand, Belgium beat Iran, New Zealand beat Egypt, Iran draw Egypt, New Zealand beat Belgium
Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw
Scenario Battle
What should New Zealand hope for?
New Zealand win
74%
1st place · 3 pts
New Zealand draw
43%
2nd place · 1 pts
New Zealand win gives New Zealand a better chance (+31pp)
Other matches that affect New Zealand
Frequently Asked Questions
- Can New Zealand still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
- New Zealand qualify in 45% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
- What does New Zealand need to qualify?
- New Zealand have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
- What group is New Zealand in?
- New Zealand are in Group G of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.