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Netherlands

Can Netherlands Still Qualify?

World Cup 2026 · Group F

ScenariosNext OpponentsQualification

Netherlands can still qualify

Qualifying in 52% of remaining scenarios

Currently 2nd in Group F · 0 points · 6 matches remaining

What Netherlands need from Netherlands vs Japan

Netherlands win

81% chance

Qualifies in 198 of 243 scenarios (81%)

Draw

47% chance

Qualifies in 115 of 243 scenarios (47%)

Netherlands lose

27% chance

Qualifies in 66 of 243 scenarios (27%)

Toggle results for this match →

Current Group F Table

#TeamPGDPts
1
JapanJapan
000✓ Q
2
NetherlandsNetherlands
000✓ Q
3
PolandPoland
000✗ E
4
TunisiaTunisia
000✗ E

Qualification Analysis

  • • Qualifies in 379 of 729 scenarios (52%)
  • • Example qualifying scenario: Netherlands beat Japan, Poland beat Tunisia, Netherlands beat Poland, Tunisia beat Japan, Japan beat Poland, Tunisia beat Netherlands

Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw

Scenario Battle

What should Netherlands hope for?

Netherlands win

81%

1st place · 3 pts

Netherlands draw

47%

2nd place · 1 pts

Netherlands win gives Netherlands a better chance (+34pp)

Other matches that affect Netherlands

PolandvsTunisiaTunisiavsJapanJapanvsPoland
Toggle all scenarios →All Group F permutations →
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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Netherlands still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
Netherlands qualify in 52% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
What does Netherlands need to qualify?
Netherlands have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
What group is Netherlands in?
Netherlands are in Group F of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.