Can Iran Still Qualify?
World Cup 2026 · Group G
Iran can still qualify
Qualifying in 48% of remaining scenarios
Currently 3rd in Group G · 0 points · 6 matches remaining
What Iran need from Iran vs New Zealand
Iran win
75% chance
Qualifies in 183 of 243 scenarios (75%)
Draw
49% chance
Qualifies in 118 of 243 scenarios (49%)
Iran lose
21% chance
Qualifies in 51 of 243 scenarios (21%)
Current Group G Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |  Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
2 |  Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✓ Q |
3 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
4 |  New Zealand | 0 | 0 | 0 | ✗ E |
Qualification Analysis
- • Qualifies in 352 of 729 scenarios (48%)
- • Example qualifying scenario: Belgium beat Egypt, Iran beat New Zealand, Belgium beat Iran, New Zealand beat Egypt, Iran beat Egypt, New Zealand beat Belgium
Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw
Scenario Battle
What should Iran hope for?
Iran win
75%
1st place · 3 pts
Iran draw
49%
1st place · 1 pts
Iran win gives Iran a better chance (+26pp)
Other matches that affect Iran
Frequently Asked Questions
- Can Iran still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
- Iran qualify in 48% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
- What does Iran need to qualify?
- Iran have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
- What group is Iran in?
- Iran are in Group G of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.