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Canada

Can Canada Still Qualify?

World Cup 2026 · Group B

ScenariosNext OpponentsQualification

Canada can still qualify

Qualifying in 54% of remaining scenarios

Currently 1st in Group B · 0 points · 6 matches remaining

What Canada need from Canada vs Italy

Canada win

82% chance

Qualifies in 200 of 243 scenarios (82%)

Draw

53% chance

Qualifies in 129 of 243 scenarios (53%)

Canada lose

28% chance

Qualifies in 68 of 243 scenarios (28%)

Toggle results for this match →

Current Group B Table

#TeamPGDPts
1
CanadaCanada
000✓ Q
2
ItalyItaly
000✓ Q
3
QatarQatar
000✗ E
4
SwitzerlandSwitzerland
000✗ E

Qualification Analysis

  • • Qualifies in 397 of 729 scenarios (54%)
  • • Example qualifying scenario: Canada beat Italy, Qatar beat Switzerland, Switzerland beat Italy, Canada beat Qatar, Italy beat Qatar, Switzerland beat Canada

Scenario Battle: Win vs Draw

Scenario Battle

What should Canada hope for?

Canada win

82%

1st place · 3 pts

Canada draw

53%

1st place · 1 pts

Canada win gives Canada a better chance (+29pp)

Other matches that affect Canada

QatarvsSwitzerlandSwitzerlandvsItalyItalyvsQatar
Toggle all scenarios →All Group B permutations →
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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Canada still qualify for the World Cup knockout stage?
Canada qualify in 54% of remaining scenarios. Toggle results on the scenario page to see exactly what they need.
What does Canada need to qualify?
Canada have 6 remaining group matches. Use the scenario toggles to see the exact combinations of results needed.
What group is Canada in?
Canada are in Group B of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.